In the financial year just ended, NESO spent more on managing transmission constraints — paying generators in the wrong place to turn off, and others in the right place to turn on — than the entire cost of balancing Britain's grid as recently as 2018. That single line item is now bigger than the rest of balancing put together.
Annual balancing cost since 2018/19. The 2022/23 spike was the gas-price crisis; the 2024/25 rebound is something different — a structural problem. As more wind connects in Scotland and the wires south stay the same size, costs rise even when wholesale prices fall. Hover any bar for the full breakdown.
Composition of FY 2024/25 balancing spend, using NESO's published cost categories. Constraints dwarf everything else — they're now nearly twice the size of the next-largest category. Hover any bar to explore.
A direct comparison. The orange bar — money paid in 2024/25 to not generate, or to compensate for those who didn't — exceeds the entire balancing budget from six years earlier. This is what scaling a grid faster than its bones can carry actually looks like in pounds.